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marcado por um m\u00eas e meio de confinamento e depois por uma recupera\u00e7\u00e3o gradual da atividade a partir de 11 de maio - o Banco de Fran\u00e7a prev\u00ea um decl\u00ednio de cerca de 15% no Produto Interno Bruto (PIB)."}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"data": {"text": "Est\u00e1 igualmente previsto que o desemprego ultrapasse 11,5% em meados de 2021."}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"data": {"text": "Ap\u00f3s o \u201cchoque muito forte\u201d causado pelo confinamento, com uma queda em particular no PIB estimada em 15% no segundo trimestre, a economia deve recuperar 7% em 2021 e 4% em 2022, prev\u00ea o banco central franc\u00eas."}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"data": {"text": "\u201cEsta recupera\u00e7\u00e3o aparente n\u00e3o retornar\u00e1 ao n\u00edvel de atividade no final de 2019 antes de meados de 2022\u201d, acrescenta."}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"data": {"text": "O cen\u00e1rio tra\u00e7ado \u00e9 baseado na circula\u00e7\u00e3o persistente, mas controlada, da covid-19 numa economia que se adapta \u00e0s restri\u00e7\u00f5es de sa\u00fade."}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"data": {"text": "Segundo o banco central franc\u00eas, as previs\u00f5es permanecem dependentes de muitas incertezas e a rela\u00e7\u00e3o entre economia e consumo ser\u00e1 \u201cessencial para o ritmo da recupera\u00e7\u00e3o\u201d."}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"data": {"text": "\u201c\u00c9 prov\u00e1vel que o aumento esperado do desemprego e o contexto global de alta incerteza continuem a pesar no comportamento de compra\u201d, considera."}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"data": {"text": "As previs\u00f5es indicam ainda que a taxa de poupan\u00e7a das fam\u00edlias exceder\u00e1 os 22% este ano e que o consumo cair\u00e1 9,3%."}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"data": {"text": "Com margens enfraquecidas e atividade mais lenta, as empresas v\u00e3o reduzir os seus investimentos em 23,3%."}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"data": {"text": "Estas dificuldades \u201ccausar\u00e3o uma redu\u00e7\u00e3o significativa no emprego\u201d, mas de forma arrastada no tempo, \u00e0 medida que o governo for reduzindo o regime de \u2018lay off\u2019 aplicado em mar\u00e7o."}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"data": {"text": "Assim, a taxa de desemprego dever\u00e1 subir para mais de 10% no final de 2020 e para um pico superior a 11,5% em meados de 2021, um n\u00edvel \u201cacima dos precedentes hist\u00f3ricos\u201d, projeta o Banco de Fran\u00e7a, que o pa\u00eds ter\u00e1 de esperar at\u00e9 2022 para voltar aos 9,7%."}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"data": {"text": "No geral, se os rendimentos das fam\u00edlias ca\u00edrem devido a essas dificuldades econ\u00f3micas, s\u00e3o o Estado e as administra\u00e7\u00f5es p\u00fablicas que ter\u00e3o de enfrentar o choque da crise, sublinha o Banco de Fran\u00e7a."}, "type": "paragraph"}, {"data": {"text": "Quanto aos pre\u00e7os, a institui\u00e7\u00e3o prev\u00ea uma press\u00e3o de queda, com uma infla\u00e7\u00e3o que at\u00e9 pode tornar-se negativa no final de 2020, principalmente devido aos pre\u00e7os da energia, permanecendo abaixo de 1% at\u00e9 no final de 2022."}, "type": "paragraph"}], "version": "2.16.1"}, "configuration": 3, "status": "published", "created_by": 1, "modifiers": {"title": {"app": "Economia francesa cai 10% e s\u00f3 recupera em meados de 2022", "seo": "Economia francesa cai 10% e s\u00f3 recupera em meados de 2022", "default": "Economia francesa cai 10% e s\u00f3 recupera em meados de 2022", "twitter": "Economia francesa cai 10% e s\u00f3 recupera em meados de 2022", "facebook": "Economia francesa cai 10% e s\u00f3 recupera em meados de 2022", "notification": "Economia francesa cai 10% e s\u00f3 recupera em meados de 2022"}, "images": {"app": 65275, "seo": 65275, "default": 65275, "twitter": 65275, "facebook": 65275, "notification": 65275}, "subtitle": {"app": null, "seo": null, "default": null, "twitter": null, "facebook": null, "notification": null}, "is_published": {"facebook": false}, "is_to_publish": {"app": true, "seo": true, "default": true, "twitter": true, "facebook": true, "notification": false}}, "has_been_published": true, "published_at": "2020-06-29T00:47:30.255Z", "show_updated": false, "publication_date_mask": "2020-06-09T07:10:00Z", "is_indexed": true, "indexed_id": "DC4gA3MBtl7_ea1J7iAz", "site": 1, "comments_remote_id": null, "allow_comments": true, "is_closed_comments": false, "is_imported": true, "main_categories": [3], "categories": [3], "tags": [8639, 9048, 8654, 8652, 8810]}}]
        
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